Good morning and welcome to this week’s Flight Path. The week ended with all of the major asset classes painting “Go” bars. However, we saw a little uncertainty in places during trading. After a few bars of weaker aqua “Go” bars, we saw equities finish with strong blue bars at new all time highs. Treasury bond prices saw a dip into uncertainty but ended strongly. The U.S. commodities index rebounded after a “Go Fish” bar with a few strong blue bars and the dollar hung onto weaker aqua “Go” bars.
$SPY Looks Strong at the End of the Week
After a few weeks that now look like consolidation, we saw price hit new highs this week on strong blue “Go” bars. This comes after a few weaker aqua bars moved price sideways and GoNoGo Oscillator fell close to the zero level. It rallied quickly though and we are seeing strong momentum as price climbs.
Another higher weekly close tells us that the “Go” trend remains strong on the larger timeframe. We now have seen 9 consecutive strong blue “Go” bars since the period of weakness in April. GoNoGo Oscillator stays overbought for another week which tells us how enthusiastic the market is as price soars.
Treasury Rates Return to Strong “NoGo” bars
Treasury rates jumped higher earlier in the week and it was enough to make GoNoGo Trend paint an amber “Go Fish” bar. However, the “NoGo” returned as the week finished with first pink and then a strong purple bar. GoNoGo Oscillator which had broken into positive territory has quickly returned to test the zero line from above. It will be important to see if this level now offers support.
Dollar Falls from Highs on Weak Aqua “Go” Bars
The daily chart below shows that price fell sharply from the most recent high. This week saw a predominance of weaker aqua bars as the “Go” trend shows weakness. GoNoGo Oscillator has fallen to test the zero line from above and volume is heavy. We will pay close attention to the oscillator panel this week to see if the zero level offers support. If it does, we will be able to infer that the “Go” trend is still healthy.
Tyler Wood, CMT, co-founder of GoNoGo Charts, is committed to expanding the use of data visualization tools that simplify market analysis to remove emotional bias from investment decisions.
Tyler has served as Managing Director of the CMT Association for more than a decade to elevate investors’ mastery and skill in mitigating market risk and maximizing return in capital markets. He is a seasoned business executive focused on educational technology for the financial services industry. Since 2011, Tyler has presented the tools of technical analysis around the world to investment firms, regulators, exchanges, and broker-dealers.
