Good morning and welcome to this week’s Flight Path. The “Go” trend in equities continued again this past week but we saw some weakness as GoNoGo trend painted a few weaker aqua bars. Treasury bond prices experienced a change in trend as a few bars of “Go Fish” gave way to a purple “NoGo” bar. U.S. commodities painted a full week of strong blue “Go” bars and the dollar also saw strength return with strong blue bars.
$SPY Shows a Little Weakness with Aqua Bars
The GoNoGo chart below shows that price has moved mostly sideways since the last high and the Go Countertrend Correction Icon (red arrow) that came with it. The waning momentum suggested that price may have a hard time moving higher in the short term. GoNoGo Trend has painted a few weaker aqua bars as well and we see GoNoGo Oscillator testing the zero line from above. It will need to find support here and if it does we will be able to say that momentum is resurgent in the direction of the “Go” trend.
On the longer term chart, the trend continues to be strong. However we are seeing the price range shrink as we edge higher. GoNoGo Oscillator is not in overbought territory and seems to be resting at a value of 3. We will watch to see if the oscillator falls to test the zero line perhaps in the next few weeks.
Treasury Rates Return to Paint “Go” Colors
Treasury bond yields reversed course and after consecutive amber “Go Fish” bars that often come as a transition between trends we see the indicator painting “Go” colors again. GoNoGo Oscillator has broken back into positive territory which confirms the trend change that we see in price above.
The Dollar Sees a Return to Strength
The dollar rallied this week with a string of uninterrupted bright blue “Go” bars. Price is approaching resistance from prior highs and we will watch to see if it can continue higher. GoNoGo Oscillator broke back into positive territory and we saw a Go Trend Continuation Icon (green circle) indicating that momentum is resurgent in the direction of the “Go” trend. We will watch to see if this will give price the push it needs to make a new high in the coming days and weeks.
Tyler Wood, CMT, co-founder of GoNoGo Charts, is committed to expanding the use of data visualization tools that simplify market analysis to remove emotional bias from investment decisions.
Tyler has served as Managing Director of the CMT Association for more than a decade to elevate investors’ mastery and skill in mitigating market risk and maximizing return in capital markets. He is a seasoned business executive focused on educational technology for the financial services industry. Since 2011, Tyler has presented the tools of technical analysis around the world to investment firms, regulators, exchanges, and broker-dealers.
Alex Cole, CEO and Chief Market Strategist at GoNoGo Charts, is a market analyst and software developer. Over the past 15 years, Alex has led technical analysis and data visualization teams, directing both business strategy and product development of analytics tools for investment professionals.
Alex has created and implemented training programs for large corporations and private clients. His teaching covers a wide breadth of Technical Analysis subjects, from introductory to advanced trading strategies.
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