How to be the first to know what Iowa GOP caucus-goers are thinking

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Fox News will be using its new, innovative election survey approach again during the 2024 primary season, the Fox News Voter Analysis. 

Together with the Associated Press and NORC at the University of Chicago, Fox News is conducting a survey of approximately 2,500 likely Republican caucus-goers in Iowa to learn who they intend to support Monday night. 

Of course, that’s not all!  The survey also tells us why they are supporting that candidate.   

The survey questionnaire and results will be posted on foxnews.com after 8:00 PM/ET Monday, January 15. Earlier in the evening, after 5:00 PM/ET, you can see select FNVA survey results by following the Fox News Iowa GOP Caucuses blog.   

TRUMP TAKES NO CHANCES AS IOWA’S REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL CAUCUSES APPROACH

Campaign signs supporting former US President Donald Trump on a table prior to remarks by Donald Trump Jr., executive vice president of development and acquisitions for Trump Organization Inc., not pictured, at the Machine Shed in Urbandale, Iowa, US, on Thursday, Jan. 11, 2024. (Al Drago)

For example, the gut reaction questions that show what caucus-goers look for in a candidate. How much do they prioritize the nominee having good policy ideas, empathy, or stamina? Or does it all come down to defeating President Joe Biden? 

How many want to see a complete change in how the country is run? And are those folks mostly backing former President Donald Trump or other candidates? 

IOWA’S RECORD-BREAKING COLD WILL AFFECT VOTER TURNOUT: JIM GERAGHTY

We’ll look at first-time caucus-goers and see who was able to motivate Iowans to go out in the freezing cold and give up hours of their Monday evening. That will help us get a sense of the campaigns’ ground games.

Vivek Ramaswamy campaign literature

GRUNDY CENTER, IOWA – JANUARY 11: Campaign paraphernalia sits on a table as Republican presidential candidate businessman Vivek Ramaswamy holds a campaign stop at Chad’s Pizza and Restaurant on January 11, 2024, in Grundy Center, Iowa. (Joe Raedle)

Did Bob Vander Plaats’ endorsement persuade evangelical Christians to support Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis? 

What about the top issue facing the country? Is it the economy? Immigration? Abortion? Foreign policy? And which foreign policy approach do voters prefer – one where the U.S. plays an ever-greater role overseas (as promoted by former South Carolina Gov. and UN Ambassador Nikki Haley) or one where the U.S. pulls back (as pushed by businessman Vivek Ramaswamy).  

DeSantis rallies in Iowa

AMES, IOWA – JANUARY 11: Republican presidential candidate Florida Governor Ron DeSantis speaks at a campaign event at Jethro’s BBQ on January 11, 2024, in Ames, Iowa. Iowa Republicans will be the first to select their party’s nomination for the 2024 presidential race when they go to caucus on January 15, 2024. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images) (Scott Olson)

Also, whether Republicans will unite and support their nominee, whoever it is, or is there a chance the party will be split come November.

Our Fox News Voter Analysis survey will tell us that. And much more.  

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Here’s a detailed description of the FNVA 2024 methodology.

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