Good morning and welcome to this week’s Flight Path. Equities saw the “Go” trend return after a triplet of uncertain “Go Fish” bars. We saw blue “Go” bars from Wednesday on. Treasury bond prices remained in a strong “Go” trend painting blue bars the entire week. U.S. commodities remained in a “NoGo” trend this week but as the week came to a close we saw a couple of weaker pink bars. The dollar also saw its “NoGo” trend continue and after a string of weaker pink bars, we saw a strong purple “NoGo” bar to end the week.
$SPY Recovers From Uncertainty
The GoNoGo chart below shows that after several amber “Go Fish” bars representing uncertainty the “Go” trend found its feet again this past week. Strong blue “Go” bars returned on Wednesday and we saw prices climb close to prior highs once again. If we turn our attention to the oscillator panel we can see that the oscillator broke through the zero line into positive territory after having spent a few days below that level. Now, with momentum resurgent in the direction of the “Go” trend, we see a Go Trend Continuation Icon (green circle) under the price bar. We will watch to see if this gives price the push it needs to make a new higher high.
The longer time frame chart shows a strong recovery last week. Price made up all of the lost ground and closed near the very top of the week’s trading range. Now, with another strong blue “Go” bar and momentum in positive territory but not yet overbought, we will watch to see if price can climb further from here.
“NoGo” Trend Continues in Force for Treasury Rates
Treasury bond yields painted strong purple “NoGo” bars again this week and we saw a new lower low as the August low provided little support. GoNoGo Oscillator in the lower panel was rallying toward the zero line but has turned around and is falling once again toward oversold territory. Momentum is well and truly on the side of falling prices.
The Dollar’s “NoGo” Trend Survives Another Week
A strong purple “NoGo” bar returned at the end of the week after 4 straight weaker pink bars. Price failed to make a new higher high and rolled over mid week. Now, with a strong purple bar, we will look to see if price falls further. GoNoGo Oscillator is out of step with the trend which is interesting. Having broken out of a Max GoNoGo Squeeze into positive territory GoNoGo Oscillator is now at a value of 1. We will watch to see if this halts price’s move lower.
Tyler Wood, CMT, co-founder of GoNoGo Charts, is committed to expanding the use of data visualization tools that simplify market analysis to remove emotional bias from investment decisions.
Tyler has served as Managing Director of the CMT Association for more than a decade to elevate investors’ mastery and skill in mitigating market risk and maximizing return in capital markets. He is a seasoned business executive focused on educational technology for the financial services industry. Since 2011, Tyler has presented the tools of technical analysis around the world to investment firms, regulators, exchanges, and broker-dealers.
Alex Cole, CEO and Chief Market Strategist at GoNoGo Charts, is a market analyst and software developer. Over the past 15 years, Alex has led technical analysis and data visualization teams, directing both business strategy and product development of analytics tools for investment professionals.
Alex has created and implemented training programs for large corporations and private clients. His teaching covers a wide breadth of Technical Analysis subjects, from introductory to advanced trading strategies.
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