KEY
TAKEAWAYS
- Finding Emerging Leaders within Key GroupsChartists can find emerging leaders using price and the price relative.
- Breakouts and higher highs on the price chart show absolute strength.
- Upturns and breakouts in the price-relative show relative strength.
The broader market is fairly mixed with one clear leader: technology. I am also seeing mixed performance within the technology sector and within specific groups. Semiconductors are strong overall, but groups like cybersecurity are more mixed. This makes it a stock pickers market. In such conditions, I am looking for individual stocks that are emerging as leaders. Today’s article will focus on CyberArk Software (CYBR), which was covered this week in ChartTrader.
The chart below shows CYBR breaking out of a falling wedge with a strong advance over the last two weeks. It is an emerging leader because it recently broke the 50-day SMA and exceeded its mid May high (breakout). In addition, the overall pattern and retracement look like a correction within a long-term uptrend. CYBR is well above the 200-day SMA and the decline back to 225 retraced around half of the prior advance, which was a whopping 80%. Thus, we have a two steps forward and one step backward sequence for the long-term uptrend.
The indicator window shows the price-relative (CYBR/RSP ratio) turning up in June and breaking its mid May high. This means CYBR is starting to outperform the broader market again (relative strength). Thus, we have a long-term uptrend and break above the May high on the price chart. We also have a price-relative breakout to signal relative strength. This is a bullish combination. A strong breakout should hold so I would set a re-evaluation level on a close below 235 (green line).
Looking for more emerging leaders? This past week we covered two more cybersecurity stocks, a semiconductor name with a classic correction and a few healthcare stocks. ChartTrader reports and videos also cover broad market trends with a focus on SPY, QQQ and MAGS. Click here to learn more and gain immediate access.
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Choose a Strategy, Develop a Plan and Follow a Process
Arthur Hill, CMT
Chief Technical Strategist, TrendInvestorPro.com
Author, Define the Trend and Trade the Trend
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Arthur Hill, CMT, is the Chief Technical Strategist at TrendInvestorPro.com. Focusing predominantly on US equities and ETFs, his systematic approach of identifying trend, finding signals within the trend, and setting key price levels has made him an esteemed market technician. Arthur has written articles for numerous financial publications including Barrons and Stocks & Commodities Magazine. In addition to his Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, he holds an MBA from the Cass Business School at City University in London.
