We were perusing the Advance-Decline Line charts that we have and noticed something that surprised us. The Nasdaq Advance-Decline Line is trending lower while prices continue higher. This is negative divergence we didn’t expect to see.
What makes that negative divergence even more interesting is looking at the same Advance-Decline Lines for the SPX and NYSE. Notice there is no negative divergence at all, if anything we see confirmations of the rallies both are experiencing.
Conclusion: We haven’t seen any issues with the Nasdaq rally, but this negative divergence could be signaling that the Nasdaq will be the first to show price weakness.
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Erin Swenlin is a co-founder of the DecisionPoint.com website along with her father, Carl Swenlin. She launched the DecisionPoint daily blog in 2009 alongside Carl and now serves as a consulting technical analyst and blog contributor at StockCharts.com. Erin is an active Member of the CMT Association. She holds a Master’s degree in Information Resource Management from the Air Force Institute of Technology as well as a Bachelor’s degree in Mathematics from the University of Southern California.
